Big Tech stocks take a $1 trillion tumble as projected AI spending continues to outweigh revenue — investors are antsy about long-term planning becoming never-ending spending
Meanwhile, Apple is happy sitting this one out.
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Big spending in AI-related investments has become the new normal to the point that it's now background noise. Even still, occasionally there's a sonic boom. Just yesterday, Amazon announced that it would be spending $200 billion in 2026, or $50 billion more than predicted. Investors didn't like that, and the company's shares took a steep 9% nosedive, taking some of its friends along for the ride for a combined sell-off approaching $1 trillion.
According to the Financial Times, the Big Tech players are set to spend a $660 billion on AI investments, an amount larger than the GDP of Israel. Investors who were once very bullish on the AI race, not wanting to be left out, are reportedly starting to get cold feet.
Revenue large enough to outstrip AI investments could be looking more like a mirage than an oasis, with analyst Dec Mullarkey stating that the announced spend is "not welcome news for investors that are already fixated on when AI-related revenue will start to show up."
Amazon took the brunt of the hit, as, along with the gigantic increase in capital expenditures, investors are seemingly frowning at the possibility of the outfit cannibalizing its lead in cloud services and even retail presence for the sake of AI. Stressing that particular point, analyst firm D.A. Davidson downgraded Amazon's rating from "buy" to "neutral".
The big loser group includes Meta and Alphabet (Google), which saw their shares take around a -2% and a -3% spill respectively, for the same base reasons. Even Google's record earnings and a contract with Apple for providing Cupertino's AI services didn't help it escape investor wrath. Analyst Mamta Valechha points out that alongside key fears, investors are not appreciating the companies' lack of visibility into exactly how these investments are expected to play out.
One week doesn't make for deep financial analysis, but it's worth noting that since Monday, today's sell-off puts Amazon at around -11.3%, Alphabet at -3.15%, Meta at -7.4%, Microsoft at -7.7%, and Oracle at -9.2%.
Meanwhile, Tim Cook is probably chuckling and eating popcorn. Only a scant few months ago, Apple was strongly criticized for dropping out of the AI race and for the lack of its much-touted Apple Intelligence in its latest software releases.
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The firm ultimately threw in the towel and hired Google's Gemini for that duty, but not having spent untold billions resulted in investors sending the stock price up 7.5% over the week, helped by "staggering" demand for the latest iPhones.
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vanadiel007 I am hoping the AI bubble slowly dissipates rather than go boom.Reply
If it goes boom we are all in deep trouble as it will affect the price of almost any consumer product or good. And the affect will not be in a positive way for consumers. -
logainofhades I disagree, as the AI shortages are making the cost to do business higher. Not just in PC and phones. The auto sector with all the fancy tech they put into vehicles these days are going to feel the crunch too. They need ram to run that junk.Reply -
daworstplaya Let's hope the bubble does go boom! People are starting to realise what most of us already knew. The ROI based on the current level of investment just isn't there. There is a use for AI, it's just not as prevalent as the Tech companies would like you to believe.Reply -
TechieTwo Clearly someone doesn't think the AI or other market "bubbles" are popping as stocks gained dramatically today by those betting on growth in stock values. The DOW hit an all time high above 50,000.Reply -
derekullo TECL is up 11% today!Reply
Https://landblife.com/cdn/shop/products/LK709.jpg?v=1675448277
Ironically the area that took the biggest beating the last few days weren't tech stocks... Silver -
derekullo Replydaworstplaya said:Let's hope the bubble does go boom! People are starting to realise what most of us already knew. The ROI based on the current level of investment just isn't there. There is a use for AI, it's just not as prevalent as the Tech companies would like you to believe.
AI is awesome.
It may not currently be the best choice for long complicated tasks, but it's perfectly acceptable for numerous easier tasks.
Just yesterday one of new guys did inventory in the IT closet... By hand... I had chatgpt digitize each of his 11 pages and convert to csv.
Gemini only had about 3 easily correctable mistakes on each page
On a more personal note... I couldn't draw a straight line to save my life, but with Gemini I'm much closer to Rembrandt than without! -
alan.campbell99 I have been wondering if any tech companies will sit out this insane AI-related capex or at least not do it to such agree, whether that would end up as a beneficial move. Could be that way for Apple.Reply
I'd agree that AI isn't going away completely, that there are limited use cases, certainly uses from back when it was called machine learning. Things like assisting with power circuit routing in highly complex ICs. -
hotaru251 Replyinvestors are antsy about long-term planning becoming never-ending spending
duh?
We don't have "ai" like people think of when they think of "ai".
What we have is a shame of "ai" that has no profitability in future.
Meme media creation isnt covering the investment.
Outside medical & other niche science fields the "ai" will never be of use to the masses enough to purposefully buy into it.
You will never make back the $ already spent into it let alone further investing.